With and without the event
Amgen: outage scenarios
Outage days: fully operational: no outage. The engine still reports all three scenarios.
Shock, computed in code
lost EBITDA = EBITDA × affected share × disruption fraction × days / 365
- Affected share
- 1.0 Derived single reportable segment: share 1.0
- Disruption fraction
- 0.0 internal calibration fully operational
- Outage days
- Low 0 · Base 0 · High 0 fully operational: no outage
Scenarios side by side
lost EBITDA = EBITDA × affected share × disruption fraction × days / 365
| Measure | Pre-event | Low · 0 days | Base · 0 days | High · 0 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lost EBITDA (USD m) | n/a | 0Derived | 0Derived | 0Derived |
| FFO to debt | 12.9%Verified | 12.9%Verified | 12.9%Verified | 12.9%Verified |
| Debt to EBITDA | 3.83xVerified | 3.83xVerified | 3.83xVerified | 3.83xVerified |
| Ratio band moved | n/a | No | No | No |
| Business risk tier | n/a | Moderate | Moderate | Moderate |
| Overall tier | n/a | Moderate | Moderate | Moderate |
Quantification pass
When the next 10-Q or guidance states the cost, lost revenue and any insurance recovery, those figures replace the scenarios and the issuer is re-scored as a new row on the audit trail. The first score is never edited.